Week 14 Big 12 Picks
Man, last weekend was tough. To all of you who might’ve stopped by the blog to read my Bedlam recap, some apologies are in order. I knew beating the Sooners in Norman was a tall order, but for them to triumph the way they did… I was left speechless and a bit shellshocked. Still am, in fact.
It was a rough week for picks, too, overall. All three of the other games were decided by 7 points. I managed to get Baylor-Tech right, but that was it. Over the past two weeks, I’ve just gotten rocked, going 2-8. David Ubben, ESPN’s Big 12 blogger, has taken the lead again (he’s 52-19).
Last week: 1-3
Season: 51-20 (.718)
On to this week’s picks!
No. 11 Oklahoma 38, TCU 28 — OU comes off their Bedlam victory riding high, but also probably a bit strung out on adrenaline, too–they’ve won each of their last games on their final possessions. A real chance that they could get upset here, if they come out flat, which is very possible, especially against TCU, which just got its best victory of the season, upsetting Texas at DKR. Ultimately, I think OU’s just got too much firepower for TCU, especially with the whole Sooner offense clicking like it has been. Landry Jones has looked like the Heisman candidate he was projected to be over the past couple weeks.
No. 6 Kansas State 34, No. 18 Texas 28 — Kansas State hasn’t looked the same since Collin Klein left early in the third corner of their game against OSU. Even though Snyder has said that he’s healthy, the Wildcats have scored just 23 and 24 in their last two outings against TCU and Baylor respectively. And we all know what happened down in Waco. Can Klein get back on track? On the other side of the coin, UT’s baffling narrative continues. David Ash has been a hero, he’s been a goat, and now, he’s officially lost his job. Mack Brown announced Case McCoy would be starting this week. Can you smell the desperation in Austin? However far Brown has fallen, he still gets his team up after a loss. I expect Texas to hang with K-State, but Bill Snyder’s 4-2 record against Brown speaks for itself. K-State comes out with a victory and its second ever BCS berth.
Kansas 27, West Virginia 54 — Now that the 5-game losing streak monkey is off their back, I think the Mountaineers will beat the living corndogs out of Charlie Weiss’s crew in Morgantown. Whatever momentum KU had gained was most likely extinguished by the Sam Richardson-led Iowa State beatdown in Lawrence two weeks ago. WVU’s trio of Geno Smith, Tavon Austin, and Stedman Bailey can ride into the postseason feeling a little lighter.
No. 23 Oklahoma State 58, Baylor 28 – On paper, this game looks like a dead heat. OSU ranks 3rd in the country in scoring (45.6 ppg). Baylor checks in at 5th (44.4 ppg), and is coming off an OT win over Tech and a crushing victory over K-State. OSU, on the other hand, just lost a heartbreaker in Norman after leading nearly the whole game against the Sooners while playing essentially no defense. However, using the Bedlam game as a watermark for how OSU’s defense will play in Waco would be misguided–OSU owns a 15-1 all time edge against the Bears (which is, I think OSU’s most lopsided margin against any team), have won the last 6 meetings between the teams, and last year led Robert Griffin and co. 45-3 in the third quarter. I think the Cowboys will come out angry in this one, landing themselves in the Cotton Bowl with a possible shot at Texas A&M (who wouldn’t want to see that?!).

